Forecasting Mobile Internet Diffusion Trend Based on Optimized Bass Model

Forecasting Mobile Internet Diffusion Trend Based on Optimized Bass Model

In order to make accurate forecast of mobile Internet diffusion trend. This paper proposes a method which is based on Bass innovation diffusion model. To solve the problem that the parameters of the model are difficult to estimate, a modified particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) whose inertia weight changes dynamically is introduced to search the most precise parameters. The application ...

mortality forecasting based on lee-carter model

over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...

A Study on New Product Demand Forecasting Based on Bass Diffusion Model

A forecasting model of new product demand has been developed and applied to forecast new vehicle demand in Malaysia. Since the publication of the Bass model in 1969, innovation of new diffusion theory has sparked considerable research among marketing science scholars, operational researchers and mathematicians. This study considers the Bass Model for forecasting the diffusion of new products or...

An Agent Based Model for Exploring Internet Hacking Trend

Developing a Model for Evaluating and Prioritizing Effective Factors on Mobile Supply Chain Management Diffusion

Managers should pay more attention to flexible production systems in order to cope with the challenges posed by factors such as global competition, changing customer demands, increasing market penetration, and rapid technological growth. On the other hand, the development of information and communication technology (ICT) provides significant opportunities for a more effective supply chain manag...